Highest ROI Middle East trades on Polymarket
The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.
Top trade
no…xx made $19.4K on $595.44 of gross traded notional
32.6× ROI
Sub-category
| # | Trader | Market | Entry | Notional | Profit | ROI | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | no…xx | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East | 3.0¢ | $595.44 | +$19.4K | 32.6× | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 2 | Na…to | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East | 4.2¢ | $2.0K | +$45.5K | 22.8× | Mar 4, 2026 |
| 3 | re…af | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East | 5.3¢ | $1.1K | +$18.9K | 17.9× | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 4 | Mo…ey | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 5.7¢ | $850.00 | +$14.2K | 16.6× | Jun 18, 2026 |
| 5 | Un…ly | US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 5.8¢ | $695.77 | +$11.2K | 16.1× | Jun 18, 2026 |
| 6 | ko…da | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Middle East | 5.9¢ | $732.00 | +$11.8K | 16.1× | Aug 30, 2026 |
| 7 | KU…AO | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 6.0¢ | $6.0K | +$94.0K | 15.7× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 8 | fo…er | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 6.1¢ | $8.1K | +$124.6K | 15.4× | Jun 18, 2026 |
| 9 | Ba…es | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East | 6.3¢ | $650.00 | +$9.7K | 15.0× | Apr 8, 2026 |
| 10 | as…av | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 6.3¢ | $783.64 | +$11.6K | 14.8× | Jun 18, 2026 |
| 11 | pa…99 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East | 6.8¢ | $1.5K | +$20.7K | 13.8× | Nov 3, 2026 |
| 12 | s…f | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East | 6.9¢ | $7.6K | +$102.1K | 13.4× | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 13 | BI…01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Politics · Middle East | 7.0¢ | $500.00 | +$6.6K | 13.3× | Nov 3, 2026 |
| 14 | 71…20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 7.4¢ | $520.00 | +$6.5K | 12.5× | Nov 1, 2026 |
| 15 | 0x…32 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 6.1¢ | $562.81 | +$6.9K | 12.3× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 16 | Bi…in | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East | 7.7¢ | $1.0K | +$12.0K | 12.0× | Mar 4, 2026 |
| 17 | Me…ow | Iran strike on US military by February 28?Politics · Middle East | 7.7¢ | $500.00 | +$6.0K | 12.0× | Mar 1, 2026 |
| 18 | M…P | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Middle East | 3.5¢ | $880.85 | +$10.1K | 11.5× | May 26, 2026 |
| 19 | 0x…28 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 8.0¢ | $888.88 | +$10.2K | 11.5× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 20 | so…a1 | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 8.0¢ | $1.6K | +$18.4K | 11.5× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 21 | lu…rz | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 8.2¢ | $2.5K | +$28.0K | 11.2× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 22 | 0x…27 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Middle East | 8.5¢ | $543.00 | +$5.9K | 10.8× | May 26, 2026 |
| 23 | Ra…ll | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 8.7¢ | $1.4K | +$15.2K | 10.5× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 24 | 0x…45 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 9.0¢ | $900.00 | +$9.1K | 10.1× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 25 | dl…c2 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 9.0¢ | $720.00 | +$7.3K | 10.1× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 26 | 0x5e…9e | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 9.0¢ | $900.00 | +$9.1K | 10.1× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 27 | G…t | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Middle East | 9.2¢ | $666.14 | +$6.6K | 9.9× | Apr 1, 2026 |
| 28 | 0x…07 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 9.2¢ | $1.7K | +$16.3K | 9.9× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 29 | hu…lk | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Politics · Middle East | 6.3¢ | $884.69 | +$8.5K | 9.6× | Nov 3, 2026 |
| 30 | 0x…86 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East | 9.4¢ | $2.5K | +$24.0K | 9.6× | Nov 3, 2026 |
| 31 | 0x…00 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 10.0¢ | $1000.00 | +$9.0K | 9.0× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 32 | Ro…et | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East | 10.0¢ | $500.00 | +$4.5K | 9.0× | Apr 8, 2026 |
| 33 | Ne…bs | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 10.0¢ | $9.9K | +$89.0K | 9.0× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 34 | 0xa8…6c | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 10.0¢ | $2.8K | +$25.3K | 9.0× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 35 | 0x…29 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East | 10.1¢ | $662.89 | +$5.9K | 8.9× | Apr 8, 2026 |
| 36 | Go…21 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics · Middle East | 10.2¢ | $999.52 | +$8.8K | 8.8× | May 26, 2026 |
| 37 | 0x…11 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East | 10.7¢ | $662.00 | +$5.5K | 8.3× | Mar 4, 2026 |
| 38 | G…t | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics · Middle East | 10.8¢ | $5.1K | +$41.9K | 8.2× | Jun 15, 2026 |
| 39 | 0x…88 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 10.8¢ | $60.8K | +$499.9K | 8.2× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 40 | 0x…56 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 10.9¢ | $562.95 | +$4.6K | 8.2× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 41 | 58…2w | US strike on Syria by December 31?Politics · Middle East | 11.0¢ | $585.25 | +$4.7K | 8.1× | Dec 20, 2025 |
| 42 | 0x…98 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 11.0¢ | $989.52 | +$8.0K | 8.1× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 43 | Za…de | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?Politics · Middle East | 11.0¢ | $550.00 | +$4.5K | 8.1× | Feb 28, 2026 |
| 44 | as…88 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?Politics · Middle East | 11.0¢ | $660.00 | +$5.3K | 8.1× | Aug 30, 2026 |
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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.