Highest ROI trades on Polymarket
The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.
Top trade
Ll…er made $66.9K on $676.08 of gross traded notional
99.0× ROI
| # | Trader | Market | Entry | Notional | Profit | ROI | Resolved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ll…er | UFC Fight Night: Marcin Tybura vs. Tyrell Fortune (Heavyweight, Prelims)Sports · MMA | 1.00¢ | $676.08 | +$66.9K | 99.0× | Mar 29, 2026 |
| 2 | 0x…36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 1.0¢ | $760.80 | +$75.3K | 99.0× | Feb 25, 2026 |
| 3 | ba…be | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?Crypto · Bitcoin | 1.1¢ | $636.42 | +$55.7K | 87.5× | Feb 1, 2026 |
| 4 | n…b | Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?Finance · Commodities | 1.6¢ | $548.91 | +$31.0K | 56.5× | Jan 31, 2026 |
| 5 | bl…er | LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 WinnerEsports · League of Legends | 0.90¢ | $1.2K | +$65.2K | 54.6× | Mar 5, 2026 |
| 6 | 47…me | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Soccer | 1.8¢ | $987.31 | +$53.3K | 53.9× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 7 | Bi…it | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Sports · Basketball | 1.9¢ | $1.1K | +$56.5K | 52.3× | Jul 27, 2026 |
| 8 | hu…bf | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Sports · Soccer | 1.9¢ | $643.84 | +$33.2K | 51.6× | Jun 15, 2026 |
| 9 | wk…kd | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 2.0¢ | $585.00 | +$28.7K | 49.0× | Mar 31, 2026 |
| 10 | Hy…rr | Exact Margin: Eagles by 25+Sports · American Football | 2.0¢ | $1.2K | +$58.8K | 49.0× | Sep 20, 2026 |
| 11 | Av…nn | James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 66.5Sports · American Football | 2.0¢ | $534.00 | +$26.2K | 49.0× | Sep 20, 2026 |
| 12 | No…ac | Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageEsports · Valorant | 2.0¢ | $1.1K | +$53.7K | 49.0× | Jun 3, 2026 |
| 13 | Vi…ix | Spread: South Carolina State (-24.5)Sports · American Football | 2.0¢ | $1.0K | +$49.0K | 49.0× | Sep 20, 2026 |
| 14 | yu…ii | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana CirsteaTennis · WTA | 2.0¢ | $1.0K | +$50.5K | 49.0× | May 10, 2026 |
| 15 | pi…ru | 2-pick combo: Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? (Yes) · Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-10-10? (Yes)Sports | 2.2¢ | $915.23 | +$41.2K | 45.0× | Oct 13, 2026 |
| 16 | 0x…61 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Soccer | 2.2¢ | $2.3K | +$104.6K | 44.9× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 17 | 0x…23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 2.2¢ | $688.66 | +$30.4K | 44.2× | Mar 24, 2026 |
| 18 | mo…oi | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Soccer | 2.1¢ | $3.9K | +$165.6K | 42.5× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 19 | Th…ur | 6-pick combo: Forest Green Rovers FC vs. Chesham United FC: O/U 2.5 (Over) · Yeovil Town FC vs. Leatherhead FC: O/U 2.5 (Over) · Stafford Rangers FC vs. Gateshead FC: O/U 2.5 (Over) · Will Macclesfield FC win on 2026-10-20? (Yes) · Will Altrincham FC win on 2026-10-20? (Yes) · Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-10-20? (Yes)Sports | 2.3¢ | $629.31 | +$26.3K | 41.8× | Oct 21, 2026 |
| 20 | Gr…23 | Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?Finance · Inflation | 2.4¢ | $615.80 | +$25.3K | 41.0× | Dec 18, 2025 |
| 21 | ob…on | UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims)Sports · MMA | 0.15¢ | $6.2K | +$251.7K | 40.4× | Apr 12, 2026 |
| 22 | wk…kd | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 2.5¢ | $709.64 | +$28.1K | 39.5× | Mar 31, 2026 |
| 23 | Sn…ll | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?Sports · Soccer | 2.5¢ | $1.0K | +$39.5K | 38.9× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 24 | Th…yr | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?Crypto · Bitcoin | 2.7¢ | $1.6K | +$55.8K | 35.4× | Aug 21, 2026 |
| 25 | po…er | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1?Crypto · Ethereum | 2.8¢ | $746.21 | +$26.2K | 35.1× | Jan 31, 2026 |
| 26 | no…xx | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East | 3.0¢ | $595.44 | +$19.4K | 32.6× | Apr 11, 2026 |
| 27 | 0x94…9e | Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Portland PilotsSports · Basketball | 3.0¢ | $637.08 | +$20.6K | 32.3× | Feb 5, 2026 |
| 28 | S-…ks | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Basketball | 3.0¢ | $784.53 | +$25.4K | 32.3× | Jun 14, 2026 |
| 29 | R…1 | Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)Sports · Soccer | 3.0¢ | $622.53 | +$20.1K | 32.3× | May 11, 2026 |
| 30 | fo…ol | Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Sports · Soccer | 3.0¢ | $1.4K | +$46.0K | 31.9× | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 31 | 0xe9…f6 | San Diego 2: Tristan Boyer vs Timo LegoutTennis · ATP | 2.2¢ | $553.56 | +$17.6K | 31.7× | Sep 26, 2026 |
| 32 | Ma…i8 | 4-pick combo: Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? (Yes) · Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? (Yes) · Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? (Yes) · Will England win on 2026-07-05? (Yes)Sports | 3.1¢ | $970.84 | +$30.1K | 31.0× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 33 | Sn…ll | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?Sports · Soccer | 3.2¢ | $562.52 | +$17.3K | 30.7× | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 34 | Wi…w4 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?Crypto · Bitcoin | 3.2¢ | $1.1K | +$32.3K | 30.5× | Jan 29, 2026 |
| 35 | fd…gg | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 3.2¢ | $570.98 | +$17.4K | 30.5× | Mar 12, 2026 |
| 36 | pr…ty | Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana TararudeeTennis · WTA | 1.0¢ | $735.54 | +$22.4K | 30.4× | Jul 23, 2026 |
| 37 | ha…17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 3.2¢ | $1.6K | +$47.3K | 30.4× | Jan 15, 2026 |
| 38 | Sn…ll | Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?Sports · Soccer | 3.2¢ | $655.06 | +$19.8K | 30.2× | Jul 5, 2026 |
| 39 | Bo…ch | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Sports · American Football | 3.2¢ | $608.34 | +$18.2K | 29.9× | Feb 9, 2026 |
| 40 | 0x…61 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 14-20?Crypto · Ethereum | 3.3¢ | $537.34 | +$15.9K | 29.6× | Sep 21, 2026 |
| 41 | J…s | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.3¢ | $647.96 | +$19.0K | 29.3× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 42 | In…st | Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 2 US Lecce?Sports · Soccer | 3.3¢ | $718.93 | +$21.1K | 29.3× | Aug 23, 2026 |
| 43 | g…s | Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?Crypto · Token launches | 3.3¢ | $698.60 | +$20.5K | 29.3× | Dec 1, 2025 |
| 44 | R…1 | Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?Sports · Soccer | 2.8¢ | $2.6K | +$75.5K | 29.2× | May 2, 2026 |
| 45 | 0x…44 | 2-pick combo: Dana White's Contender Series: Logan Paxton vs. Cristian Perez (Lightweight, Main Card) (Cristian Perez) · UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) (Esteban Ribovics)Sports | 3.3¢ | $600.96 | +$17.4K | 29.0× | Aug 19, 2026 |
| 46 | te…n2 | 2-pick combo: Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals (Yes) · Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? (Yes)Sports | 3.3¢ | $575.02 | +$16.6K | 28.9× | Jul 15, 2026 |
| 47 | Sn…ll | Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Morocco?Sports · Soccer | 3.4¢ | $648.19 | +$18.4K | 28.3× | Jul 4, 2026 |
| 48 | 0x…82 | Exact Score: Albania 2 - 1 San Marino?Sports · Soccer | 3.4¢ | $1.6K | +$43.9K | 28.3× | Oct 6, 2026 |
| 49 | ra…t1 | Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5Sports · Soccer | 3.5¢ | $823.09 | +$22.7K | 27.6× | Jun 26, 2026 |
| 50 | ya…ci | Galatasaray SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5Sports · Soccer | 3.5¢ | $1.8K | +$49.8K | 27.6× | Nov 3, 2026 |
| 51 | ta…ke | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Basketball | 3.6¢ | $1.4K | +$38.4K | 27.1× | Jun 14, 2026 |
| 52 | R…1 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5)Sports · American Football | 3.6¢ | $834.05 | +$22.5K | 27.0× | Oct 18, 2026 |
| 53 | Fl…rp | Exact Score: CA Paranaense 2 - 2 CA Mineiro?Sports · Soccer | 3.6¢ | $843.72 | +$22.7K | 26.9× | Oct 9, 2026 |
| 54 | Ha…23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or higher on March 13?Weather · São Paulo | 3.6¢ | $594.00 | +$15.9K | 26.8× | Mar 14, 2026 |
| 55 | O…2 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Sports · American Football | 3.6¢ | $620.31 | +$16.6K | 26.8× | Feb 9, 2026 |
| 56 | Bl…in | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.6¢ | $881.34 | +$23.3K | 26.5× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 57 | RO…RD | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.6¢ | $1.9K | +$49.9K | 26.5× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 58 | 0x00…5e | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Basketball | 3.7¢ | $1.2K | +$30.8K | 26.4× | Jun 14, 2026 |
| 59 | Sn…r7 | Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?World · Global elections | 3.7¢ | $703.55 | +$18.3K | 26.1× | Oct 27, 2026 |
| 60 | Si…ny | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.7¢ | $559.19 | +$14.4K | 25.8× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 61 | Sn…ll | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?Sports · Soccer | 3.8¢ | $881.29 | +$22.6K | 25.6× | Oct 14, 2026 |
| 62 | bt…lu | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 3.8¢ | $4.9K | +$124.6K | 25.6× | Jan 14, 2026 |
| 63 | yo…le | Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 2 US Lecce?Sports · Soccer | 3.8¢ | $832.56 | +$21.0K | 25.2× | Aug 23, 2026 |
| 64 | mi…72 | ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri LankaSports · Cricket | 3.8¢ | $1.0K | +$25.9K | 25.1× | Jun 16, 2026 |
| 65 | Sh…99 | Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-5.5)Sports · Basketball | 3.8¢ | $760.94 | +$19.0K | 25.0× | Nov 19, 2025 |
| 66 | Sh…99 | Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-3.5)Sports · Basketball | 3.9¢ | $541.85 | +$13.5K | 24.8× | Nov 19, 2025 |
| 67 | Jd…uu | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.9¢ | $1.6K | +$38.4K | 24.6× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 68 | 0x…65 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego PadresSports · Baseball | 3.9¢ | $635.80 | +$15.6K | 24.6× | Aug 23, 2026 |
| 69 | z…5 | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 3.9¢ | $2.2K | +$54.6K | 24.5× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 70 | ve…ly | 5-pick combo: LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season (GIANTX) · Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) (Shopify Rebellion) · LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season (LYON) · Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5) (Team Vitality) · Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5) (Movistar KOI)Esports | 4.0¢ | $1.2K | +$29.3K | 24.1× | Aug 31, 2026 |
| 71 | ti…on | Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $557.19 | +$13.4K | 24.0× | Jul 20, 2026 |
| 72 | 0x…65 | Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $1.6K | +$38.2K | 24.0× | Oct 11, 2026 |
| 73 | A…n | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 4.0¢ | $756.11 | +$18.1K | 24.0× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 74 | yu…ii | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $1.2K | +$29.8K | 24.0× | Jul 7, 2026 |
| 75 | No…ac | Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $1.4K | +$32.7K | 24.0× | Oct 31, 2026 |
| 76 | No…ac | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-23?Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $1.2K | +$28.8K | 24.0× | Oct 23, 2026 |
| 77 | re…po | Will XRP reach $1.50 August 17-23?Crypto · XRP | 4.0¢ | $995.50 | +$23.9K | 24.0× | Aug 22, 2026 |
| 78 | Pa…id | Auburn vs. GeorgiaSports · American Football | 4.0¢ | $2.5K | +$61.0K | 24.0× | Oct 17, 2026 |
| 79 | 0x…65 | Montana State vs. IdahoSports · American Football | 4.0¢ | $569.67 | +$13.7K | 24.0× | Oct 3, 2026 |
| 80 | Ka…cs | Auburn vs. GeorgiaSports · American Football | 4.0¢ | $4.6K | +$109.9K | 24.0× | Oct 17, 2026 |
| 81 | Di…in | Falcons vs. BuccaneersSports · American Football | 4.0¢ | $648.13 | +$15.6K | 24.0× | Dec 12, 2025 |
| 82 | yu…ii | Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Sports · Soccer | 4.0¢ | $1.1K | +$25.9K | 24.0× | Jun 13, 2026 |
| 83 | et…te | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Finance · Equities | 4.0¢ | $1000.00 | +$23.8K | 23.8× | Jun 1, 2026 |
| 84 | ji…88 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETCrypto · Bitcoin | 4.1¢ | $868.75 | +$20.5K | 23.6× | Mar 5, 2026 |
| 85 | No…ap | Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5Sports · Soccer | 4.1¢ | $632.55 | +$14.7K | 23.3× | Jul 6, 2026 |
| 86 | CR…BY | Solana Up or Down - January 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETCrypto · Solana | 4.1¢ | $507.28 | +$11.7K | 23.1× | Jan 9, 2026 |
| 87 | as…r2 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Pop Culture · Music | 4.2¢ | $696.81 | +$16.0K | 23.0× | May 17, 2026 |
| 88 | 0x…96 | Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 AS Monaco FC?Sports · Soccer | 4.2¢ | $551.18 | +$12.7K | 23.0× | Sep 4, 2026 |
| 89 | Na…to | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East | 4.2¢ | $2.0K | +$45.5K | 22.8× | Mar 4, 2026 |
| 90 | bo…c1 | Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao?Sports · Soccer | 3.5¢ | $579.69 | +$13.1K | 22.6× | Jun 21, 2026 |
| 91 | Wh…an | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics | 4.2¢ | $553.89 | +$12.5K | 22.6× | Jul 20, 2026 |
| 92 | Sn…ll | Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?Sports · Soccer | 4.2¢ | $1.0K | +$23.3K | 22.6× | Jun 22, 2026 |
| 93 | fo…ol | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5Sports · Soccer | 4.2¢ | $761.33 | +$17.2K | 22.6× | Jun 15, 2026 |
| 94 | co…10 | Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections | 4.2¢ | $4.5K | +$99.6K | 22.3× | Aug 14, 2026 |
| 95 | 47…me | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Sports · Soccer | 4.3¢ | $2.0K | +$43.5K | 22.3× | Jul 14, 2026 |
| 96 | 0…3 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Sports · Basketball | 4.3¢ | $5.0K | +$111.5K | 22.3× | Jun 14, 2026 |
| 97 | Tr…45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?Weather · London | 4.3¢ | $578.23 | +$12.8K | 22.1× | Mar 5, 2026 |
| 98 | 0x…28 | LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand PlayoffsEsports · League of Legends | 4.3¢ | $1.8K | +$39.0K | 22.1× | Mar 21, 2026 |
| 99 | 43…97 | Nets vs. PistonsSports · Basketball | 4.4¢ | $1.5K | +$33.8K | 21.9× | Mar 8, 2026 |
| 100 | zz…q2 | Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Sports · Soccer | 4.4¢ | $539.79 | +$11.7K | 21.7× | Jul 14, 2026 |
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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.