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Highest ROI trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
fl…ll made $75.8K on $3.7K of gross traded notional
20.6× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROI
1fl…llWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?4.6¢$3.7K+$75.8K20.6×
2Ra…olWill Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?5.1¢$1.5K+$27.8K18.5×
3z…nWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?5.8¢$600.00+$9.7K16.2×
4Ge…orWill the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?6.1¢$1.2K+$18.6K15.5×
5Ca…99Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?5.0¢$6.2K+$95.0K15.4×
60x…19US strikes Nigeria by December 31?7.6¢$969.43+$11.8K12.1×
70x1e…d2Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?8.1¢$709.66+$8.1K11.4×
8an…tsUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?8.4¢$1.6K+$17.2K10.9×
9Up…wnIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?8.4¢$3.0K+$32.1K10.6×
100x…69US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?9.0¢$500.00+$5.1K10.1×
11Ho…stUS x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?9.3¢$1.5K+$14.6K9.8×
12y…5US strikes Nigeria by December 31?9.4¢$11.3K+$108.7K9.6×
13ka…ssWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?9.5¢$5.5K+$52.0K9.5×
14Bi…inRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?9.8¢$2.0K+$18.9K9.3×
15so…a1Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?10.0¢$2.0K+$18.0K9.0×
16Tw…esRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?10.4¢$13.5K+$116.0K8.6×
17la…77Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?11.2¢$918.32+$7.3K7.9×

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.