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Politics · US electionsPresident

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Live

Open on Polymarket
$16.4K
$281.28M
142
$45.18M
$61.05M

The leading questions, over time

Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.

  • JD Vance19.9%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.2%
  • Jon Ossoff10.2%
  • Gavin Newsom8.1%
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Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.

Questions in this event

54 open · 74 never traded

Chance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.

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74 more that never traded

Event facts

Category
Politics · US elections
Structure
Exactly one question can win
Fee
4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
UMA bond
$50,000
Resolver
UMA CTF Adapter v3
Questions
54 open · 74 never traded
Fills, last 24 h
501
Polymarket-reported 24h volume
96,303 shares
  1. Created
  3. First trade
  4. Event start

Who is trading this event

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The largest holders of each question with a free account; the ranked active traders and tagged-wallet flow with the full metrics.

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How does this event settle?

Rules, as written by Polymarket

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

This event has 128 questions and exactly one of them can win: when one settles Yes, every other settles No.

Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.

It can settle from Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.

Prices as of Oct 9, 2026 04:09 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.