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Politics · US electionsPresident

Question

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC

Yes
6.1 % chance
No
93.9 % chance
$17.1K
41

Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:05 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC

Presidential Election Winner 2028 → all 128 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 6.1 %chance
  • Yes 6.1¢ · No 93.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

18.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
6.1¢
Yes price now
12.3¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
50
Tagged holders
20

Top holders

  • Th…MANo501,877
  • Bu…reNo269,000
  • Bu…reYes269,000
  • Re…etYes425,771
  • zu…zuNo170,086

See who's really positioned here

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