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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
1.3 % chance
No
98.7 % chance
$1.1K
18

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 00:47 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 28, 2027 04:59 UTC

Fed Decision in January? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 1.3 %chance
  • Yes 1.3¢ · No 98.7¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.3¢
Yes price now
0.0¢
Holders paid the current price
24h fills
31
Tagged holders
11

Top holders

  • ba…arNo15,919
  • Bi…ggNo15,451
  • Lu…ysNo10,078
  • Vi…axNo7,708
  • AnonymousNo7,582

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank