Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$66.23
5
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:42 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 0.4 %chance
- Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
0.2¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
0.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
4
Smart money
2
Top holders
- ts…esYes572,338
- ao…jfYes496,000
- be…inYes108,497
- tu…orNo5,000
- gi…99Yes50,000
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