Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes

3.2 % chance

96.8 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 27, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

10 wallets hold $10 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $14
Avg paid: 8.0¢
Now: 3.2¢

On No

5 wallets

Staked: $161
Avg paid: 92.6¢
Now: 96.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$14 @ 8.0¢−$9
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

Lo…ts$46 @ 89.0¢+$4
Tech +6.1¢ · 530 settled · 14 dLifetime +$19.3K · 95,259 settled
a…z$29 @ 97.5¢$0
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
ha…ay$27 @ 90.0¢+$2
Tech +1.4¢ · 191 settled · 14 dLifetime −$765 · 8,273 settled

All 6, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

3.2 %chance
Yes 3.2¢ · No 96.8¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.