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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury

Question

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?

Live

Yes
34.0 % chance
No
66.0 % chance
$185.68
6

Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 34.0 %chance
  • Yes 34.0¢ · No 66.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

37.0¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
34.0¢
Yes price now
3.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Tagged holders
5

Top holders

  • St…erYes3,060
  • t4…rsNo1,702
  • Al…ieNo1,076
  • sb…bgNo860.5
  • Go…odYes575.7

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank