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Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 12?

Live · started Nov 11 13:00 UTC

Yes
97.5 % chance
No
2.5 % chance
$470.29
15

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 13:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 12, 2026 21:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 97.5 %chance
  • Yes 97.5¢ · No 2.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

84.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
97.5¢
Yes price now
13.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
38
Tagged holders
10

Top holders

  • Pi…erYes605.8
  • K…YNo914.2
  • j…vYes151.2
  • gr…69Yes100
  • AnonymousYes77.9

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank