S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12?
Live
- $14.9K
- $15.0K
- 41
- $2.4K
- $7.7K
The leading questions, over time
Chance of Yes for the 4 questions with the highest chance now.
- $73599.9%
- $74099.5%
- $74599.4%
- $73099.1%
Order-book mid of each question’s Yes side; each line ends at the live price shown above. Times are UTC.
Questions in this event
11 openChance of Yes. Each row is its own question with its own page.
- > 99 %
$735
$84.71 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢ - > 99 %
$740
$2.2K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢ - > 99 %
$745
$8.6K traded, 24 h
Yes 99.4¢No 0.6¢ - > 99 %
$730
$79.92 traded, 24 h
Yes 99.1¢No 0.9¢ - 98.9 %
$750
$470.86 traded, 24 h
Yes 98.9¢No 1.1¢ - 93.0 %
$755
$1.1K traded, 24 h
Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢ - 59.0 %
$760
$812.81 traded, 24 h
Yes 59.0¢No 41.0¢ - 5.6 %
$765
$1.3K traded, 24 h
Yes 5.6¢No 94.4¢ - 1.8 %
$770
$29.16 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.8¢No 98.2¢ - 1.1 %
$775
$4.95 traded, 24 h
Yes 1.1¢No 98.9¢
Event facts
- Category
- Finance · Equities
- Series
- SPY Daily Close U/O · daily
- Structure
- Each question settles on its own; several can win
- Fee
- 4% × p × (1−p) · taker only · 25% maker rebate
- UMA bond
- $500
- Dispute window
- 15 minutes
- Resolver
- UMA CTF Adapter (sports)
- Questions
- 11 open
- Fills, last 24 h
- 249
- Polymarket-reported 24h volume
- 2,919 shares
- Created
- First trade
Who is trading this event
How does this event settle?
Rules, as written by Polymarket
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12?
This event has 11 questions. Each one settles on its own, so several can settle Yes.
Each question is its own Yes/No market: a share of the side that wins pays 100¢, the other side pays 0¢.
The result is checked against pythdata.app. Open the source
It can settle from Nov 12, 2026 21:00 UTC; trading can go on after that until the result is final.
Prices as of Nov 12, 2026 15:55 UTC; volume from on-chain fills over the last 24h. Trading data is ours; event metadata comes from Polymarket. Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.