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Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 12?

Live · started Nov 11 13:00 UTC

Yes
5.7 % chance
No
94.3 % chance
$1.4K
17

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 13:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 12, 2026 21:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 5.7 %chance
  • Yes 5.7¢ · No 94.3¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

16.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
5.7¢
Yes price now
10.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
36
Tagged holders
14

Top holders

  • ko…edNo1,066
  • gr…69Yes831.1
  • Th…poYes405.6
  • e2…b0No120
  • be…y4No100

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on November 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank