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Question

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 12?

Live · started Nov 11 13:00 UTC

Yes
62.5 % chance
No
37.5 % chance
$937.81
17

Trading opened Nov 11, 2026 13:01 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 12, 2026 21:00 UTC

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 12? → all 11 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 62.5 %chance
  • Yes 62.5¢ · No 37.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

36.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
62.5¢
Yes price now
26.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
78
Tagged holders
11

Top holders

  • 0x…8bYes765
  • e2…b0Yes351.2
  • j…vNo306.8
  • gr…69No425
  • ta…89No350

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S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on November 12? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank