Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.35% before 2027?
Live
Yes
16.5 % chance
No
83.5 % chance
$2.0K
11
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 16.5 %chance
- Yes 16.5¢ · No 83.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
21.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
16.5¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
13
Tagged holders
9
Top holders
- Ar…lyNo4,104
- co…ilNo2,112
- Al…ieNo1,500
- co…erNo1,490
- t4…rsYes2,714
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