Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?
Live
Yes
10.8 % chance
No
89.2 % chance
$518.46
8
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 10.8 %chance
- Yes 10.8¢ · No 89.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
16.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.8¢
Yes price now
6.1¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Tagged holders
7
Top holders
- co…erNo2,317
- t4…rsYes2,012
- H…BNo431
- li…reNo266
- Su…tsNo280.7
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