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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury

Question

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027?

Live

Yes
10.8 % chance
No
89.2 % chance
$1.1K
11

Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 10.8 %chance
  • Yes 10.8¢ · No 89.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

12.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
10.8¢
Yes price now
1.6¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
10
Tagged holders
10

Top holders

  • Su…tsNo1,285
  • Ar…lyNo1,072
  • co…erNo1,066
  • nj…l3Yes3,057
  • Sp…ndNo710.8

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.25% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank