Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 17, 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes

23.9 % chance

76.1 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 18, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

6 wallets hold $10 or more here. 6 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $17
Avg paid: 8.4¢
Now: 23.9¢

On No

5 wallets

Staked: $135
Avg paid: 97.5¢
Now: 76.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$17 @ 8.4¢+$31
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

a…z$29 @ 98.1¢−$7
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
go…94$38 @ 99.7¢−$9
Tech +3.3¢ · 237 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled
An…ke$13 @ 99.0¢−$3
Tech +2.7¢ · 16 settled · 14 dLifetime −$434 · 161 settled

All 6, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

23.9 %chance
Yes 23.9¢ · No 76.1¢

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