Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?

Live

Yes

39.0 % chance

61.0 % chance

$7.2K

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

8 wallets hold $50 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Tech record.

On Yes

3 wallets

Staked: $251
Avg paid: 30.0¢
Now: 39.0¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $125
Avg paid: 67.9¢
Now: 61.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$68 @ 26.8¢+$31
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
ba…ar$66 @ 27.9¢+$26
Tech +2.9¢ · 258 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
0x…06$117 @ 33.0¢+$21
Tech +2.1¢ · 12 settled · 14 dLifetime −$34.3K · 2,014 settled

ka…es$71 @ 71.0¢−$10
Tech +5.2¢ · 41 settled · 14 dLifetime +$508 · 844 settled
my…da$54 @ 63.8¢−$2
Tech +1.6¢ · 36 settled · 14 dLifetime +$678 · 154 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

39.0 %chance
Yes 39.0¢ · No 61.0¢

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