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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
56.5 % chance
No
43.5 % chance
$5.7K
37

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 00:48 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 28, 2027 04:59 UTC

Fed Decision in January? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 56.5 %chance
  • Yes 56.5¢ · No 43.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

36.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
56.5¢
Yes price now
19.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
48
Tagged holders
26

Top holders

  • C…1Yes318,415
  • tr…erNo24,047
  • ak…llNo23,420
  • ci…esNo19,479
  • Re…ekYes27,946

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank