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Politics · US electionsMidterms

Question

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?

Live

Yes
91.5 % chance
No
8.5 % chance
$6.7K
34

Trading opened Oct 21, 2026 21:24 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 3, 2026 12:00 UTC

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (Final Round) → all 12 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 91.5 %chance
  • Yes 91.5¢ · No 8.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

64.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
91.5¢
Yes price now
26.6¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
73
Tagged holders
23

Top holders

  • mr…deYes5,177
  • Pr…ieNo2,529
  • Cr…oeYes1,180
  • Ad…shYes766.2
  • xt…meNo508.6

See who's really positioned here

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Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank