Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 12, 2026?

Live

Yes

14.5 % chance

85.5 % chance

$125.43

Trading opened Nov 14, 2026 02:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 13, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? → all 50 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

5 wallets hold a position here. 3 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

2 wallets

Staked: $3
Avg paid: 2.6¢
Now: 14.5¢

On No

1 wallet

Staked: $25
Avg paid: 97.6¢
Now: 85.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$1 @ 2.0¢+$8
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
Vo…gh$2 @ 3.0¢+$8
Tech +2.5¢ · 257 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 6,018 settled

a…z$25 @ 97.6¢−$3
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

14.5 %chance
Yes 14.5¢ · No 85.5¢

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