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Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Difficulty Adjustment

Question

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up 0% to 3%?

Yes
0.1 % chance
No
99.9 % chance
$2.5K
17

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 05:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 07:03 UTC

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744? → all 6 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

10 wallets hold a position here. 5 of them have a positive Crypto record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes
4 wallets
Staked
$1
Avg paid
1.7¢
Now
0.1¢
On No
1 wallet
Staked
$10
Avg paid
96.0¢
Now
100.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
  • Lo…ts$0 @ 0.2¢$0
    Crypto +4.3¢ · 25 settled · 14 dLifetime +$19.3K · 95,259 settled
  • f5…77$0 @ 0.9¢$0
    Crypto +2.0¢ · 12 settled · 14 dLifetime +$7.1K · 12,654 settled
  • a…3$0 @ 1.4¢$0
    Crypto +1.8¢ · 7,394 settled · 14 dLifetime −$10.9K · 292,642 settled
No
  • or…t2$10 @ 96.0¢$0
    Crypto +0.3¢ · 482 settled · 90 dLifetime +$6 · 911 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.1 %chance
  • Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢
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Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up 0% to 3%?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank