Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 16, 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes

4.3 % chance

95.7 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 17, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 4.3¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $110
Avg paid: 98.8¢
Now: 95.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

a…z$29 @ 98.1¢−$1
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
go…94$38 @ 99.7¢−$2
Tech +3.3¢ · 237 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled
an…in$43 @ 98.4¢−$1
Tech +0.2¢ · 63 settled · 14 dLifetime +$598 · 145 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

4.3 %chance
Yes 4.3¢ · No 95.7¢

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