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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury

Question

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?

Live

Yes
25.0 % chance
No
75.0 % chance
$135.95
9

Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 25.0 %chance
  • Yes 25.0¢ · No 75.0¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

29.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
24.5¢
Yes price now
5.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
8
Tagged holders
7

Top holders

  • co…erNo3,163
  • AnonymousNo1,327
  • St…erYes2,384
  • sb…bgNo792.5
  • St…SDYes961.1

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank