Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Live
Yes
96.5 % chance
No
3.5 % chance
$643.02
22
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 15:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 96.5 %chance
- Yes 96.5¢ · No 3.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
87.7¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
96.5¢
Yes price now
8.8¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
24
Smart money
20
Top holders
- f…nYes316.2
- No…41Yes150
- 00…x9No250
- po…erYes90
- Lo…23Yes90
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