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World · Global elections

Question

Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Live

Yes
86.5 % chance
No
13.5 % chance
$754.29
25

Trading opened Oct 12, 2026 18:31 UTC · Eligible for resolution Apr 18, 2027 23:59 UTC

French Presidential Election First Round Winner → all 43 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 86.5 %chance
  • Yes 86.5¢ · No 13.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

82.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
86.5¢
Yes price now
3.7¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
33
Smart money
19

Top holders

  • Ar…lyYes1,881
  • Ne…ndYes1,478
  • D…KYes620
  • sw…tjNo1,067
  • me…48No780

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Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank