Tech · AI
Question
Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 3, 2026?
Live
Yes
21.0 % chance
No
79.0 % chance
$126.10
4
Trading opened Nov 14, 2026 02:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 4, 2026 04:59 UTC
Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? → all 50 questions
Who holds this, and their record
as of 04:59 UTC4 wallets hold a position here. 3 of them have a positive Tech record.
Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.
On Yes
1 wallet
- Staked
- $3
- Avg paid
- 2.0¢
- Now
- 21.0¢
On No
2 wallets
- Staked
- $62
- Avg paid
- 98.0¢
- Now
- 79.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
- xt…me$3 @ 2.0¢+$24Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
No
- a…z$25 @ 98.0¢−$5Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
- Th…ge$36 @ 98.0¢−$7Tech +0.7¢ · 18 settled · 14 dLifetime −$252 · 271 settled
All 3, by name:
Create a free accountMeasured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.0 %chance
- Yes 21.0¢ · No 79.0¢
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