Politics · US electionsUnited States
Question
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Live · starts Nov 7 12:00 UTC
Yes
1.9 % chance
No
98.1 % chance
$631.70
8
Trading opened Jul 11, 2025 19:41 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 8, 2028 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 1.9 %chance
- Yes 1.9¢ · No 98.1¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
5.1¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
1.9¢
Yes price now
3.2¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
50
Smart money
3
Top holders
- Tr…elNo303,649
- Th…MANo162,576
- Fl…oiYes82,629
- Fl…oiNo82,629
- be…y4Yes248,651
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