Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?
Live
Yes
21.5 % chance
No
78.5 % chance
$502.37
5
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 21.5 %chance
- Yes 21.5¢ · No 78.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
22.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
21.5¢
Yes price now
0.9¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Tagged holders
4
Top holders
- Al…ieNo2,620
- sb…bgNo1,962
- St…erYes3,474
- St…SDNo1,123
- t4…rsNo1,047
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