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Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury

Question

Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$2.75
2

Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

7.5¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
5.5¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
2
Tagged holders
1

Top holders

  • co…erNo1,383
  • 0x…06No1,233
  • nj…l3Yes1,528
  • To…yyYes622.6
  • ci…esNo150

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank