Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 15, 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes

1.6 % chance

98.4 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

15 wallets hold a position here. 12 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

6 wallets

Staked: $5
Avg paid: 5.1¢
Now: 1.6¢

On No

6 wallets

Staked: $91
Avg paid: 98.2¢
Now: 98.4¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Lo…ts$0 @ 0.3¢$0
Tech +6.1¢ · 530 settled · 14 dLifetime +$19.3K · 95,259 settled
xt…me$3 @ 4.3¢−$2
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
Nu…94$1 @ 5.9¢−$1
Tech +2.8¢ · 641 settled · 14 dLifetime −$34.2K · 18,761 settled

a…z$29 @ 95.4¢+$1
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
go…94$38 @ 99.8¢−$1
Tech +3.3¢ · 237 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled
Ad…st$5 @ 99.8¢$0
Tech +1.7¢ · 33 settled · 14 dLifetime +$36.4K · 2,715 settled

All 12, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.6 %chance
Yes 1.6¢ · No 98.4¢

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