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Politics · Middle East

Question

Iran leadership change by October 31?

Live

Yes
2.1 % chance
No
97.9 % chance
$1.3K
23

Trading opened Aug 7, 2026 14:25 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 1, 2026 03:59 UTC

Iran leadership change by...? → all 14 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 2.1 %chance
  • Yes 2.1¢ · No 97.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

3.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
2.1¢
Yes price now
1.8¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
46
Smart money
9

Top holders

  • st…22No100,665
  • th…drNo13,479
  • Al…daNo12,906
  • Ty…enNo9,057
  • ju…03No7,977

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Iran leadership change by October 31? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank