Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?

Live

Yes

13.2 % chance

86.8 % chance

$0.12

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 20, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 5 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $13
Avg paid: 6.6¢
Now: 13.2¢

On No

4 wallets

Staked: $111
Avg paid: 96.7¢
Now: 86.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$13 @ 6.6¢+$13
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

a…z$29 @ 97.5¢−$3
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
Hi…ey$21 @ 99.0¢−$3
Tech +3.0¢ · 55 settled · 14 dLifetime +$2.2K · 2,555 settled
Wa…rH$18 @ 88.8¢$0
Tech +0.2¢ · 449 settled · 14 dLifetime −$139.1K · 10,126 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

13.2 %chance
Yes 13.2¢ · No 86.8¢

1D · All: Loading…

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