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Tech · AI

Question

Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026?

Live

Yes
24.5 % chance
No
75.5 % chance
$125.48
3

Trading opened Nov 14, 2026 02:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 16, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? → all 50 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

4 wallets hold a position here. 4 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes
2 wallets
Staked
$3
Avg paid
2.6¢
Now
24.5¢
On No
2 wallets
Staked
$125
Avg paid
97.5¢
Now
75.5¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes
  • xt…me$1 @ 2.0¢+$15
    Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
  • Vo…gh$2 @ 3.0¢+$13
    Tech +2.5¢ · 257 settled · 14 dLifetime +$3.4K · 6,018 settled
No
  • a…z$25 @ 97.8¢−$6
    Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
  • Ab…ry$100 @ 97.4¢−$23
    Tech +2.3¢ · 31 settled · 14 dLifetime +$508 · 384 settled

All 4, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 24.5 %chance
  • Yes 24.5¢ · No 75.5¢
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Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on December 15, 2026?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank