Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?
Live
Yes
7.8 % chance
No
92.2 % chance
$420.35
5
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 7.8 %chance
- Yes 7.8¢ · No 92.2¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
7.8¢
Yes price now
4.0¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
4
Tagged holders
4
Top holders
- co…erNo2,223
- nj…l3Yes2,500
- p…eNo451
- Al…ieNo288.7
- 0x…anNo257.7
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