Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down 3% to 7%?

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$135.37

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 05:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 07:03 UTC

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744? → all 6 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

6 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Crypto record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 0.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $56
Avg paid: 87.8¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

ci…es$13 @ 87.0¢+$2
Crypto +1.4¢ · 56 settled · 14 dLifetime −$500.0K · 188,445 settled
ba…ar$18 @ 88.0¢+$2
Crypto +0.7¢ · 375 settled · 14 dLifetime +$438.9K · 52,222 settled
go…94$25 @ 88.0¢+$3
Crypto +0.5¢ · 15 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled

All 3, by name:

Create a free account

Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

1D · All: Loading…

Not affiliated with Polymarket · Not investment advice.