Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on November 30, 2026?

Live

Yes

19.5 % chance

80.5 % chance

$126.21

Trading opened Nov 14, 2026 02:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? → all 50 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

5 wallets hold a position here. 5 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

3 wallets

Staked: $2
Avg paid: 2.0¢
Now: 19.5¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $126
Avg paid: 98.1¢
Now: 80.5¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$2 @ 2.0¢+$20
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
bj…lo$0 @ 1.0¢+$2
Tech +2.5¢ · 787 settled · 14 dLifetime +$12.0K · 462,516 settled
Co…ga$0 @ 1.0¢$0
Tech +0.3¢ · 152 settled · 14 dLifetime +$6.6K · 7,586 settled

a…z$25 @ 98.0¢−$5
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
Da…tu$101 @ 98.1¢−$18
Tech +0.5¢ · 13 settled · 14 dLifetime +$23 · 232 settled

All 5, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

19.5 %chance
Yes 19.5¢ · No 80.5¢

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