Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Live
Yes
65.5 % chance
No
34.5 % chance
$1.1K
13
Trading opened Oct 5, 2026 15:17 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 65.5 %chance
- Yes 65.5¢ · No 34.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
50.4¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
65.5¢
Yes price now
15.1¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
27
Smart money
10
Top holders
- Lo…23Yes490
- Y4…olYes438.2
- Sa…teNo445
- f…nNo305
- A…VNo119
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