Will the next Gemini Carbon model (4.1+) be released on or prior to November 13, 2026?

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$133.63

Trading opened Nov 14, 2026 02:43 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 14, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Gemini Carbon (4.1+) released on...? → all 50 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

3 wallets hold a position here. 2 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

2 wallets

Staked: $1
Avg paid: 1.0¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$1 @ 1.0¢−$1
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled
bj…lo$0 @ 1.0¢$0
Tech +2.5¢ · 787 settled · 14 dLifetime +$12.0K · 462,516 settled

Nobody on this side in this list.

All 2, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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