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Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Difficulty Adjustment

Question

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up more than 7%?

Yes
50.0 % chance
No
50.0 % chance
$1.2K
5

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 05:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 07:03 UTC

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744? → all 6 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Crypto record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
50.0¢
On No
3 wallets
Staked
$67
Avg paid
98.3¢
Now
50.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • Hi…ey$23 @ 98.8¢−$11
    Crypto +0.8¢ · 33 settled · 14 dLifetime +$2.4K · 2,555 settled
  • go…94$30 @ 99.8¢−$15
    Crypto +0.5¢ · 15 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled
  • or…t2$14 @ 94.3¢−$7
    Crypto +0.3¢ · 482 settled · 90 dLifetime +$6 · 911 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 50.0 %chance
  • Yes 50.0¢ · No 50.0¢
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Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be up more than 7%?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank