Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 30, 2026?

Open, no trades in the last 24 h

Yes

1.1 % chance

98.9 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 1, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

5 wallets hold $10 or more here. 3 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

0 wallets

Staked: $0
Avg paid: —
Now: 1.1¢

On No

3 wallets

Staked: $101
Avg paid: 97.4¢
Now: 98.9¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

a…z$29 @ 97.0¢+$1
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
gr…19$30 @ 99.9¢$0
Tech +1.7¢ · 247 settled · 14 dLifetime +$7.4K · 35,720 settled
an…in$42 @ 95.9¢+$1
Tech +0.2¢ · 63 settled · 14 dLifetime +$598 · 145 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

1.1 %chance
Yes 1.1¢ · No 98.9¢

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