Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?
Live
Yes
9.1 % chance
No
90.9 % chance
$262.73
9
Trading opened Sep 3, 2026 01:06 UTC · Eligible for resolution Dec 31, 2026 00:00 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 9.1 %chance
- Yes 9.1¢ · No 90.9¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
11.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
9.1¢
Yes price now
2.7¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
11
Tagged holders
8
Top holders
- co…erNo2,506
- nj…l3Yes3,889
- H…BNo683.3
- Fl…ngNo522.5
- se…alNo500
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