Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down 0% to 3%?

Yes

0.1 % chance

99.9 % chance

$1.2K

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 05:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 07:03 UTC

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744? → all 6 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

5 wallets hold a position here. 3 of them have a positive Crypto record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $3
Avg paid: 3.3¢
Now: 0.1¢

On No

2 wallets

Staked: $39
Avg paid: 96.3¢
Now: 100.0¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$3 @ 3.3¢−$3
Crypto +1.6¢ · 765 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

Hi…ey$29 @ 97.0¢+$1
Crypto +0.8¢ · 33 settled · 14 dLifetime +$2.4K · 2,555 settled
or…t2$9 @ 94.0¢+$1
Crypto +0.3¢ · 482 settled · 90 dLifetime +$6 · 911 settled

All 3, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

0.1 %chance
Yes 0.1¢ · No 99.9¢

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