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Crypto · BitcoinBitcoin Difficulty Adjustment

Question

Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down more than 7%?

Yes
100.0 % chance
No
0.0 % chance
$1.5K
7

Trading opened Oct 30, 2026 05:45 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 16, 2026 07:03 UTC

Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744? → all 6 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 04:59 UTC

13 wallets hold a position here. 7 of them have a positive Crypto record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $10 or more, so every holder is listed.

On Yes
0 wallets
Staked
$0
Avg paid
—
Now
100.0¢
On No
7 wallets
Staked
$49
Avg paid
17.6¢
Now
0.0¢
Wallets
Dollars
Yes

Nobody on this side in this list.

No
  • Anonymous$5 @ 18.0¢−$5
    Crypto +4.7¢ · 49 settled · 14 dLifetime +$889 · 5,019 settled
  • ro…05$1 @ 18.0¢−$1
    Crypto +2.8¢ · 73 settled · 90 dLifetime +$2.0K · 2,680 settled
  • xt…me$24 @ 18.0¢−$24
    Crypto +1.6¢ · 765 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

All 7, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Crypto record beat the price paid by 1.98¢ a share (others +1.06¢; 7.17M positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,572 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 100.0 %chance
  • Yes 100.0¢ · No 0.0¢
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Will the Bitcoin difficulty adjustment at block 975,744 be down more than 7%?: price, holders and their record · Polyrank