Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?

Live

Yes

8.3 % chance

91.7 % chance

$0.00

Trading opened Oct 28, 2026 21:52 UTC · Eligible for resolution Nov 21, 2026 04:59 UTC

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...? → all 32 questions

Who holds this, and their record

as of 02:15 UTC

9 wallets hold $10 or more here. 8 of them have a positive Tech record.

Fewer than 5 wallets hold $50 or more, so the list starts at $10.

On Yes

1 wallet

Staked: $16
Avg paid: 6.1¢
Now: 8.3¢

On No

7 wallets

Staked: $330
Avg paid: 83.3¢
Now: 91.8¢

Wallets

Dollars

Yes

xt…me$16 @ 6.1¢+$5
Tech +5.2¢ · 972 settled · 14 dLifetime +$351.2K · 129,548 settled

mo…yy$198 @ 79.9¢+$29
Tech +6.0¢ · 184 settled · 14 dLifetime +$57.2K · 4,024 settled
a…z$29 @ 97.3¢−$2
Tech +5.6¢ · 32 settled · 14 dLifetime +$75.0K · 17,592 settled
go…94$17 @ 42.7¢+$19
Tech +3.3¢ · 237 settled · 14 dLifetime +$4.4K · 13,504 settled

All 8, by name:

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Measured 1 Sep to 13 Nov 2026: a positive Tech record beat the price paid by 2.13¢ a share (others −1.28¢; 15,876 positions). Their side has not beaten the price (1,308 markets). How we measured

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

8.3 %chance
Yes 8.3¢ · No 91.7¢

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