Finance · Central banks & ratesEconomyHow low 5-year Treasury
Question
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?
Live
Yes
48.5 % chance
No
51.5 % chance
$872.56
5
Trading opened Oct 23, 2026 01:56 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027? → all 13 questions
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 48.5 %chance
- Yes 48.5¢ · No 51.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
50.9¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
48.5¢
Yes price now
2.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
7
Tagged holders
4
Top holders
- Go…odYes918.6
- St…SDNo829.7
- No…teNo841.7
- al…laYes395.4
- xt…meYes460.2
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