Weather · ClimateClimate & Sciencemeasles
Question
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Live
Yes
32.5 % chance
No
67.5 % chance
$20.2K
13
Trading opened Jan 23, 2026 19:21 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 1, 2027 04:59 UTC
Where is the price now, and how did it get there?
- 32.5 %chance
- Yes 32.5¢ · No 67.5¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market
23.3¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
32.5¢
Yes price now
9.2¢
Holders paid below the current price
24h fills
17
Tagged holders
9
Top holders
- he…ngYes26,400
- ho…arYes19,800
- st…ngNo12,700
- la…xxNo12,584
- no…jyNo11,300
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