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Politics · Economy & the FedFedFOMC

Question

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?

Live

Yes
0.4 % chance
No
99.6 % chance
$700.73
10

Trading opened Jul 30, 2026 00:55 UTC · Eligible for resolution Jan 28, 2027 04:59 UTC

Fed Decision in January? → all 5 questions

Where is the price now, and how did it get there?

  • 0.4 %chance
  • Yes 0.4¢ · No 99.6¢
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Where holders of Yes bought vs the market

1.8¢
Holders' average price for Yes (skill-weighted)
0.4¢
Yes price now
1.4¢
Holders paid above the current price
24h fills
21
Tagged holders
5

Top holders

  • Fr…usNo48,089
  • Bi…ggNo15,451
  • ba…arNo15,451
  • Lu…ysNo10,078
  • Vi…axNo7,904

See who's really positioned here

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Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? — where holders bought & who holds it · Polyrank