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Highest ROI Politics trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
no…xx made $19.4K on $595.44 of gross traded notional
32.6× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1no…xxUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East3.0¢$595.44+$19.4K32.6×Apr 11, 2026
2Na…toKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East4.2¢$2.0K+$45.5K22.8×Mar 4, 2026
3Wh…anWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Politics4.2¢$553.89+$12.5K22.6×Jul 20, 2026
4co…10Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections4.2¢$4.5K+$99.6K22.3×Aug 14, 2026
5d…pWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Politics · Global elections4.8¢$507.50+$10.0K19.8×Jun 8, 2026
60x…65Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia4.9¢$2.1K+$40.6K19.3×May 9, 2026
70xcb…fbWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.2¢$816.31+$14.8K18.2×Aug 12, 2026
8re…afUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East5.3¢$1.1K+$18.9K17.9×Apr 11, 2026
9Mo…eyUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.7¢$850.00+$14.2K16.6×Jun 18, 2026
10tj…psWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Politics · Economy & the Fed5.1¢$629.64+$10.4K16.5×Jan 30, 2026
110xcb…fbWill David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections5.8¢$620.15+$10.1K16.2×Aug 12, 2026
12Un…lyUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East5.8¢$695.77+$11.2K16.1×Jun 18, 2026
13ko…daUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Politics · Middle East5.9¢$732.00+$11.8K16.1×Aug 30, 2026
14Sn…r7Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Politics · US elections6.0¢$538.72+$8.4K15.7×May 13, 2026
15D6…63Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics6.0¢$861.52+$13.5K15.7×Jan 3, 2026
16KU…AOUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.0¢$6.0K+$94.0K15.7×Feb 28, 2026
17Zo…gaWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics · Trump6.1¢$570.48+$8.8K15.4×Jun 30, 2026
18fo…erUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$8.1K+$124.6K15.4×Jun 18, 2026
19Ba…esUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$650.00+$9.7K15.0×Apr 8, 2026
20fi…atRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia6.3¢$2.0K+$29.8K14.9×May 9, 2026
21Cr…teWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.3¢$801.70+$11.9K14.8×Aug 12, 2026
220x…06Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections6.3¢$1.5K+$22.8K14.8×May 4, 2026
23as…avUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$783.64+$11.6K14.8×Jun 18, 2026
24pa…99US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East6.8¢$1.5K+$20.7K13.8×Nov 3, 2026
25do…ceWill Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Politics · US elections6.6¢$1.2K+$16.2K13.6×Aug 12, 2026
26s…fUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Politics · Middle East6.9¢$7.6K+$102.1K13.4×Apr 11, 2026
27Fr…oxMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.0¢$779.68+$10.4K13.3×Jan 3, 2026
28BI…01US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?Politics · Middle East7.0¢$500.00+$6.6K13.3×Nov 3, 2026
29ZT…erWill the government shutdown end November 13?Politics7.1¢$520.00+$6.8K13.1×Nov 13, 2025
300x…87Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.2¢$5.8K+$75.0K13.0×Jan 3, 2026
31se…viKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Trump7.2¢$500.00+$6.5K12.9×Oct 16, 2026
32A…kWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics3.4¢$883.40+$11.3K12.8×Nov 13, 2025
33ni…erRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.4¢$10.1K+$126.2K12.5×May 9, 2026
3471…20US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Politics · Middle East7.4¢$520.00+$6.5K12.5×Nov 1, 2026
350x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.4¢$32.5K+$404.2K12.4×Jan 3, 2026
36P…DRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.5¢$1.1K+$13.4K12.3×May 9, 2026
370x…32US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East6.1¢$562.81+$6.9K12.3×Feb 28, 2026
380x…12Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics7.6¢$740.07+$9.0K12.2×Jan 3, 2026
39Bi…inKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$1.0K+$12.0K12.0×Mar 4, 2026
40Me…owIran strike on US military by February 28?Politics · Middle East7.7¢$500.00+$6.0K12.0×Mar 1, 2026
41s…fRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia7.8¢$22.4K+$264.0K11.8×May 9, 2026
420x…84Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$2.0K+$22.7K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
43M…PWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Politics · Middle East3.5¢$880.85+$10.1K11.5×May 26, 2026
44Th…99Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.0¢$818.25+$9.4K11.5×Jan 3, 2026
450x…28US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$888.88+$10.2K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
46so…a1Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.0¢$1.6K+$18.4K11.5×Feb 28, 2026
470x…05Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.1¢$951.97+$10.9K11.4×Jan 3, 2026
480xd1…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.1¢$634.66+$7.2K11.4×May 4, 2026
4915…d6Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics8.2¢$2.8K+$31.2K11.2×Jan 3, 2026
50lu…rzUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.2¢$2.5K+$28.0K11.2×Feb 28, 2026
510x…43Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics8.3¢$1.1K+$12.2K11.1×Nov 13, 2025
52un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
530x…27Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Politics · Middle East8.5¢$543.00+$5.9K10.8×May 26, 2026
54sc…oyWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics5.9¢$635.69+$6.8K10.7×Nov 13, 2025
55fo…rkWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections8.6¢$1000.00+$10.6K10.6×May 4, 2026
56Ra…llUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East8.7¢$1.4K+$15.2K10.5×Feb 28, 2026
57W3…9sMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$790.67+$8.0K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
58sp…ngMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$774.26+$7.8K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
590x…45US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
60dl…c2US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$720.00+$7.3K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
610x5e…9eUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.0¢$900.00+$9.1K10.1×Feb 28, 2026
62te…itMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.0¢$1.6K+$15.7K10.1×Jan 3, 2026
630x7b…fdMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.1¢$924.79+$9.3K10.0×Jan 3, 2026
64Po…orWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.1¢$7.7K+$76.9K10.0×May 4, 2026
650x…05Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.2¢$755.60+$7.5K9.9×May 4, 2026
66G…tUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$666.14+$6.6K9.9×Apr 1, 2026
670x…07US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East9.2¢$1.7K+$16.3K9.9×Feb 28, 2026
680x…82Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.2¢$928.33+$9.2K9.9×Jan 3, 2026
690x07…feWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections9.3¢$926.23+$9.0K9.7×May 4, 2026
70Ri…usWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics · Trump9.4¢$1.0K+$10.0K9.7×Dec 23, 2025
71hu…lkUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?Politics · Middle East6.3¢$884.69+$8.5K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
720x…86US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Politics · Middle East9.4¢$2.5K+$24.0K9.6×Nov 3, 2026
73gi…laWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump9.7¢$537.32+$5.0K9.3×Apr 30, 2026
740x…36Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics9.8¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.2×Jan 3, 2026
75Ra…olWill the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by at least 25%?Politics · Global elections10.0¢$5.0K+$45.0K9.0×Sep 7, 2026
760x…00US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$1000.00+$9.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
77zd…arWill Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Politics10.0¢$988.80+$8.9K9.0×Feb 4, 2026
78Ke…toWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Politics · US elections10.0¢$873.56+$7.9K9.0×May 27, 2026
79w…oWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionPolitics · Global elections10.0¢$614.50+$5.5K9.0×Jun 4, 2026
80Ro…etUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$500.00+$4.5K9.0×Apr 8, 2026
81Ne…bsUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$9.9K+$89.0K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
82Ho…stMaduro out by January 31, 2026?Politics10.0¢$1.9K+$17.1K9.0×Jan 3, 2026
830xa8…6cUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.0¢$2.8K+$25.3K9.0×Feb 28, 2026
84te…seWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Politics · Trump10.0¢$1.4K+$12.8K9.0×Nov 20, 2025
850x…29US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Politics · Middle East10.1¢$662.89+$5.9K8.9×Apr 8, 2026
860x…14Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$780.35+$6.9K8.8×May 4, 2026
87Ke…toWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Politics · US elections10.2¢$2.3K+$20.2K8.8×May 27, 2026
88Gi…ngWill the government shutdown end November 12?Politics9.0¢$9.0K+$78.9K8.8×Nov 13, 2025
89Go…21Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Politics · Middle East10.2¢$999.52+$8.8K8.8×May 26, 2026
90TH…64Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Politics · Ukraine & Russia3.5¢$969.84+$8.5K8.7×May 9, 2026
91Th…kyWill Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?Politics · Ukraine & Russia4.6¢$664.95+$5.8K8.7×Nov 16, 2025
92Ve…stWill Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?Politics · Global elections10.2¢$650.62+$5.6K8.7×Aug 14, 2026
93or…yzWill Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?Politics · Global elections10.4¢$10.6K+$91.3K8.6×May 4, 2026
94Bo…chWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?Politics · US elections10.5¢$13.0K+$110.5K8.5×Dec 4, 2025
95Fl…iaWill Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Politics · Global elections10.6¢$11.6K+$98.5K8.5×Aug 14, 2026
96Ag…ryWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Trump10.6¢$4.2K+$35.2K8.4×Mar 2, 2026
97sl…t-Will the government shutdown end November 12?Politics10.7¢$8.1K+$67.6K8.4×Nov 13, 2025
980x…11Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Politics · Middle East10.7¢$662.00+$5.5K8.3×Mar 4, 2026
99G…tUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Politics · Middle East10.8¢$5.1K+$41.9K8.2×Jun 15, 2026
1000x…88US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Politics · Middle East10.8¢$60.8K+$499.9K8.2×Feb 28, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.