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Highest ROI Trump trades on Polymarket

The biggest return-multiple trades that hit — someone took a long-shot position and it paid. Ranked by ROI (realized profit ÷ gross traded notional), from every resolved position on-chain. Click any trader to explore their full history.

Top trade
Ov…el made $42.7K on $915.72 of gross traded notional
46.6× ROI
Resolved within
#TraderMarketEntryNotionalProfitROIResolved
1Ov…elElise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?Politics · Trump1.6¢$915.72+$42.7K46.6×Mar 28, 2025
2Zo…gaWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?Politics · Trump6.1¢$570.48+$8.8K15.4×Jun 30, 2026
3se…viKatie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Politics · Trump7.2¢$500.00+$6.5K12.9×Oct 16, 2026
4m…mWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh for Treasury Secretary?Politics · Trump8.0¢$503.61+$5.8K11.5×Nov 23, 2024
5Wo…rkWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July?Politics · Trump8.2¢$907.90+$10.1K11.2×Jul 1, 2025
6un…icWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump8.3¢$521.08+$5.8K11.1×Apr 30, 2026
7mr…ziWill Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall?Politics · Trump8.5¢$593.84+$6.4K10.8×Sep 28, 2024
8Ea…ggWill Steve Bannon be in the Epstein Files?Politics · Trump9.3¢$511.40+$5.0K9.7×Aug 26, 2025
9Ri…usWill Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?Politics · Trump9.4¢$1.0K+$10.0K9.7×Dec 23, 2025
10gi…laWill the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Politics · Trump9.7¢$537.32+$5.0K9.3×Apr 30, 2026
11te…seWill Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?Politics · Trump10.0¢$1.4K+$12.8K9.0×Nov 20, 2025
12Ki…d7Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?Politics · Trump3.7¢$1.9K+$17.1K8.9×Feb 20, 2025
13Ag…ryWill Trump say "Soleimani" during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?Politics · Trump10.6¢$4.2K+$35.2K8.4×Mar 2, 2026

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ROI = realized profit ÷ gross traded notional on a single resolved position — the denominator is the Notional column (buy cost basis plus sell proceeds), not the cost basis. Profit is gross of fees. Past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.